Summary

Denmark’s Defense Intelligence Service warns that Russia could launch a large-scale war in Europe within five years if NATO appears weak or divided, especially if the U.S. does not intervene.

The report outlines a timeline where Russia could attack a neighboring country within six months, escalate to a regional Baltic conflict in two years, and potentially engage NATO-wide by 2029.

The assessment comes as Trump pressures NATO members to increase defense spending and has suggested the U.S. might not defend allies who fail to meet financial commitments.

  • Majorllama@lemmy.world
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    11 days ago

    What are they gonna start a major war with? Their one “functional” 5th Gen “stealth” fighter that has the radar cross section of a Boeing 747 and no replacement parts?

    They gonna start shitting out t-34s again like it’s WW2?

    They have lost the majority of their best vehicles and their trained soldiers.

    If nukes didn’t exist they would already have been obliterated by now.

    • DicJacobus@lemmy.world
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      10 days ago

      yup. and they still managed to win. It doesnt matter how many russians die, the mafia is still in charge, its detractors in the country have all been killed or imprisoned, and europe is too afraid to fight them other than mutually assured nuclear annihilation.

      they cant fight for shit, but they are very lucky that americans are so fucking stupid.

  • Omgboom@lemmy.zip
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    11 days ago

    Man Europe needs to build up their military quick. Too long you’ve relied on the US but now the US is unreliable depending on who is in office

    • DicJacobus@lemmy.world
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      10 days ago

      they’ve sat on their hands this entire time

      they had a wait and see attitude until the US election came trump won, they wait and saw they sat on their hands some more.

      Russia’s conventional military is cooked, but all they need to do is launch a few hundred missiles at Europe, and Europe will tear itself apart with countries refusing to honor Article 5, and bam. Fait accompli, NATO dissolves.

      • ℍ𝕂-𝟞𝟝@sopuli.xyz
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        10 days ago

        There was a serious military buildup in some more sane countries. Poland has spent the past few years buying up all the tanks everyone had.

    • grue@lemmy.world
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      11 days ago

      You’re half right: it’s ridiculous because they did start a major war in Europe in the past 5 years.

  • Hobbes_Dent@lemmy.world
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    10 days ago

    Nazi Russia pact 2: America throws Europe to the wolves after creating its own role it now uses as an excuse to blackmail world peace and climate for lithium and hate because Mars Hateopia is no longer feasible in time for Elon-aloo.

  • wax@feddit.nu
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    10 days ago

    This is about how quickly the Russian war machine and economy can rebuild their capability to attack again. IIRC the report by the Danish Intelligence Service assumes that the Ukraine war stops now and that Europe does not increase its defensive capabilities.

  • Dogyote@slrpnk.net
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    10 days ago

    If Moscow perceives NATO as weak, Russia could be ready to wage a “large-scale war” in Europe within five years, the Danish Defense Intelligence Service (DDIS) has said.

    They didn’t say Russia will, they said Russia could. I feel like this is fearmongering to a certain extent. How is the war in Ukraine going for Russia? They’re winning, sure, but they’re fighting hard for every kilometer and it’s costing them. I really don’t think any other country is worth as much as Ukraine is from Russia’s point of view.

    • IceFoxX@lemm.ee
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      10 days ago

      People die but remain missing = no costs They finance most of the equipment etc. themselves. Laws are already being changed in the direction of forced child labor and I wouldn’t be surprised if Putin brings forced rape into play if necessary. So losses are manageable even with the junk equipment.

      Ukraine is acting democratically… even the current convocation will do if age limits have to be constantly adjusted. Equipment either from abroad or financed from abroad. Losses are not bearable

      Europe, America and all democracies in the world are sinking into unstable chaos due to Russia’s propaganda machine. No more united action, etc. The majority of the population backing Russia is becoming an ever greater risk and the likelihood of civil war is increasing.

      Etc.

      So people who don’t take this seriously, make fun of Russia, etc. have absolutely not grasped the seriousness of the situation. There are several ways of waging war… even without actively intervening in the events themselves.

    • markko@lemmy.world
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      10 days ago

      I mostly agree with your points, but even the article title very clearly says ‘could’.

      Russia had been encroaching on Ukrainian borders for years before launching their full invasion, and I’m not aware of similar actions against other European nations. It may be fearmongering, but unifying and strengthening NATO is in an important step to take to prevent Putin from going even further. He is heading towards his latter years now, and he seems to like the idea of restoring the ‘glory’ of the USSR and showing the West how big and stronk Russia is.

      Additionally, in a larger-scale war with other, better armed European nations, Russia might not hold back on using their nukes this time round.

  • DicJacobus@lemmy.world
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    10 days ago

    Major war already started 3 years ago. Europe sat on its hands, and America is looking for the door.

  • hperrin@lemmy.ca
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    10 days ago

    Boy, it sure would be bad if the US population had voted a Russian stooge into the presidency for the next four years. Oh wait…

  • x00z@lemmy.world
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    11 days ago

    I think Russia is well aware that if they go to war with the EU, China will backdoor them hard.